SENTINEL — Global Incident and Threat MonitorBetav1.1.29
Breaking Bahrain says air defences destroyed several Iranian drones attacking US base

Regional briefing

Middle East & Caucasus

High100/100 index Building baseline

This is the most active region in this edition (score 25.1).

  • 24 incidents
  • 1 severe (4–5)
  • 1 suspected terrorism
  • 20 deaths reported*

*Sum of the highest figure cited per incident in publisher reports; tolls are often revised and may double count.

Middle East & Caucasus: High threat (index 100)Eastern Europe & Russia: High threat (index 94)Central & Southern Africa: High threat (index 93)North America: Medium threat (index 71)Central America & Caribbean: Medium threat (index 64)Western & Northern Europe: Medium threat (index 64)South Asia: Medium threat (index 58)Southeast Asia: Medium threat (index 54)East Asia: Medium threat (index 50)South America: Low threat (index 39)Southern Europe & Balkans: Low threat (index 37)North Africa: Low threat (index 35)West Africa & Sahel: Low threat (index 30)Oceania & Pacific: Low threat (index 24)East Africa & Horn: Low threat (index 21)Central Asia: Low threat (index 0) Three sentenced to death over Jordan church attackSiege on Hebron’s Beit Ula industrial zone threatens Palestinian economyJordan condemns Iranian drone strike on BahrainWSJ: Iran still has 1,500-2,500 missiles, influencing US plans for renewed warCOP31: Protesters, UN urge swift climate dealInside Arab nation's battle against radicalism as top official warns of threat brewing on Europe's streetsBahrain says air defences destroyed several Iranian drones attacking US baseIran claims attack on US military airbase in BahrainTop Hamas commander killed in Israeli strike in GazaAfter Decades of Blood and Mistrust, Doubts Over Who’s to Blame for an Israeli HostageRespiratory illnesses rise in Gaza with worst to come as winter floods arrive, WHO saysSaudi-led coalition intercepts third drone as Houthis claim downing aircraftThe Israeli army killed Samir Abu Yunis (also known…Two Houthi ballistic missiles shot down over Riyadh, coalition spokesman saysIran’s fuel rationing system reaches breaking point with hours-long lines, protests on eve of ‘Bloody…0 shock would come from this. The cia is working WITH Iran to plan a terror attack…One Syrian army soldier was killed and two others were wounded today…Iran showcases missiles as military targets US army radar in BahrainTwo killed, one wounded in Syria explosion, as Damascus continues international diplomatic effortsAn attack in Jaramana, a Damascus suburb, mainly Muwahhideen ("Druze") tonight: one dead, several injured6 held over deadly Türkiye steel plant blast that killed 17 wwwTrump falsely claims ‘nobody’s been killed’ in Iran war ‘in the last five months’Israel Strikes Gaza Hospital, Killing at Least SixCar bomb in Damascus suburb kills two, including child
  • High
  • Medium
  • Low
  • Suspected terrorism
  • Other incident

Incidents in Middle East & Caucasus

Armed conflictTehran, Iran

Iran claims attack on US military airbase in Bahrain (opens France 24 in a new tab)

Iranian military confirmed on Sunday an attack on a US military base in Bahrain, in its second targeting the Middle Eastern country in the space of three days. Bahrain's military said it had…

France 24State-fundedSeverity 2/5
6 sources
Armed conflictKhan Younis, Palestine

Top Hamas commander killed in Israeli strike in Gaza (opens South China Morning Post in a new tab)

Hamas said on Sunday that a senior commander who helped plan and oversee the October 7, 2023, attack on Israel had been killed in an Israeli air strike, with the Israeli military confirming his…

South China Morning PostCentreSeverity 2/5
3 sources + 9 social posts
Suspected terrorismJordan

Three sentenced to death over Jordan church attack (opens France 24 in a new tab)

A Jordanian court on Sunday sentenced the three gunmen responsible for a terror attack on a church funeral procession in the village of Hamoud that killed nine and wounded others. The attack…

France 24State-fundedSeverity 1/59 killed, 34 injured reportedBackground / retrospective
5 sources
Armed conflictRiyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saudi-led coalition intercepts third drone as Houthis claim downing aircraft (opens Middle East Eye in a new tab)

Saudi-led coalition intercepts third drone as Houthis claim downing aircraft Saudi-led coalition forces have shot down yet another Houthi drone in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Region, according to Colonel…

Middle East EyeLeftSeverity 2/5
3 sources
Suspected terrorismDamascus, Syria

Car bomb in Damascus suburb kills two, including child (opens Middle East Eye in a new tab)

Car bomb in Damascus suburb kills two, including child A car bomb killed two people, including a child, and wounded another, in a suburb of Damascus on Saturday, Syrian Arab News Agency (Sana) said.…

Middle East EyeLeftSeverity 4/52 killed reported
3 sources
Armed conflictDeir Ez Zor, Syria

One Syrian army soldier was killed and two others were wounded today (opens Bluesky · @levant24com.bsky.social in a new tab)

One Syrian army soldier was killed and two others were wounded today when unidentified attackers targeted them in the town of Jadid Bakara, east of Deir Ezzor. A similar attack struck the same town…

Bluesky · @levant24com.bsky.socialSeverity 2/5Unverified social
2 social posts